Saturday, July 31: In the last week of July, the southwest monsoon gained pace over parts of central and western India, especially Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh, while intense downpour continued to last parts of the west coast and some parts of North India. Midway into the monsoon season, India has received 449 mm rainfall from June 1 to July 31—lying in the normal range compared to the long-period average (LPA) of 452 mm.
Among all, Goa (181.4 mm), followed by Madhya Pradesh (158 mm) and Kerala (155.7 mm) witnessed the highest amount of rains between July 22 to July 28. Meanwhile, heavy showers also lashed over Konkan & Goa (331.2 mm), coastal Karnataka (264.5 mm) and west Madhya Pradesh (167.7 mm)—thus making them the wettest subdivisions of the last week.
The incessant downpour wreaked havoc in many parts of India. The death toll of devastating Maharashtra floods reached 213, while 53,295 people were rendered homeless. Moreover, a series of cloudburst-like downpours severely impacted parts of the Western Himalayan Region, triggering flash floods, landslides, and rockslides in the region, especially Himachal Pradesh and Kashmir. On Friday, July 30, a dramatic incident occurred where an entire hillside was seen collapsing in Sirmaur of Himachal.
In the coming week, heavy rains will continue to pound over parts of east and central India, as well as the western coast. The wet weather conditions are mainly triggered by a well-marked low-pressure area that originated in the Bay of Bengal and now lies over Madhya Pradesh. Another low-pressure system is forecast to form around Bangladesh on Wednesday, August 4.
Wet weather conditions will continue over parts of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Uttar Pradesh during this week. Heavy to extremely heavy rain is likely over isolated places of east Rajasthan and west Madhya Pradesh till Monday. Accordingly, India Meteorological Department (IMD) has placed a ‘red warning’ over both the subdivisions for Sunday and Monday.
Heavy rain is likely over isolated places of coastal Maharashtra and Goa from Tuesday onward and over coastal Karnataka from Wednesday onward as the offshore trough intensifies gradually. Meanwhile, parts of North India will also witness fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity in the coming days. Heavy falls are expected over Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Haryana during the first half of this week.
On the flip side, the monsoon conditions are likely to remain subdued over parts of Northeast and South India.
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