Here’s the latest weather outlook for India for the next two days:

W​ednesday

  • Scattered thunderstorms are likely in several areas of Northeast India, inland Karnataka, Malabar Coast, the northern part of West Bengal, inland Andhra Pradesh and the Andaman Islands.
  • Very heavy rain is expected in southwestern and northwestern Kerala
  • Heavy rain is likely over Assam, Arunachal Pradesh and the Andaman Islands.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places are on the cards over Meghalaya, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall has been forecast at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala and Mahe.
  • Maximum temperatures above 45℃ can be expected in southern Punjab, Haryana, the Thar Desert, eastern Rajasthan, northern Madhya Pradesh and southern Uttar Pradesh.
  • Heat wave conditions in isolated places are very likely over Jammu Division, West Uttar Pradesh and West Rajasthan.
  • In the morning, dense fog is possible in the Trans Himalayas and the relatively high altitude area of West Himalayans.

Thursday

  • Scattered thunderstorms are possible in several areas of Northeast India, the northern part of West Bengal, the Malabar Coast, inland areas of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, and the Andaman Islands.
  • Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and hail at isolated places are very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan and Muzaffarabad.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala and Mahe, with the Andaman Islands to face heavy rain.
  • Heatwave conditions in isolated places are possible over West Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana and Gujarat State.
  • Maximum temperatures above 45℃ can be expected in southern Punjab, Haryana, the Thar Desert, eastern Rajasthan, northern Madhya Pradesh and southern Uttar Pradesh.

Forecast summary for the next five days:

Three Day Precipitation Accumulation

(TWC Met Team)

Due to strong southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal to Northeast and adjoining East India and an east-west trough from northwest Rajasthan to west Assam at lower tropospheric levels, the following weather occurrences are likely to take place:

  • Widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim during the next five days.
  • Isolated extremely heavy falls over Meghalaya on Wednesday.
  • Widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls over Mizoram and Tripura on Wednesday.
  • Isolated to scattered light rainfall with isolated thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds over Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha during the next three days.

A cyclonic circulation lies over Kerala and its neighbourhood in the lower and middle tropospheric levels and a north-south trough runs from west Vidarbha to north Kerala in lower tropospheric levels. Under the influence of these systems, the following weather occurrences are likely:

  • Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds over Kerala, Mahe, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Lakshadweep and Rayalaseema during the next five days.
  • Isolated heavy to very heavy falls over Kerala, Mahe, Tamil Nadu, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka during the next two days and isolated heavy for the subsequent two days.
  • Isolated extremely heavy falls over Coastal and South Interior Karnataka on Wednesday.
  • Isolated heavy rainfall over Rayalaseema till Thursday and over the Lakshadweep area on Wednesday.

Accordingly, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has put the states of Assam, Meghalaya as well as many parts of Coastal and South Interior Karnataka under a ‘Red Warning’ on Wednesday, which advises its residents to take action immediately to stay safe against the hazardous weather conditions. Meanwhile, most of the South Peninsular region and Arunachal Pradesh will be under an orange alert or yellow watch.

Conditions are favourable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into some more parts of South Bay of Bengal, the entire Andaman Sea and the Andaman Islands and some parts of East-central Bay of Bengal during the next 24 hours. Due to strong cross-equatorial flow from the Bay of Bengal to the Andaman Sea at lower tropospheric levels, we can expect the following weather conditions:

  • Widespread rainfall over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during the next five days.
  • Isolated heavy falls accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds over Andaman & Nicobar Islands for the next three days. Isolated very heavy fall is also likely on Wednesday over the same region.
  • Squally weather with wind speeds reaching 40-60 kmph is likely over the Andaman Sea, southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining the central Bay of Bengal during the next two days.

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