Here’s the latest weather outlook for India for the next two days:

Monday (May 16)

  • Very heavy to extremely heavy rains are likely over isolated places of Assam, Meghalaya, Kerala and Mahe.
  • Heavy rainfall is expected in some parts of Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Tamil Nadu, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka.
  • Widespread showers with thunderstorms are forecast over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Kerala, Mahe and Lakshadweep.
  • Fairly widespread rain/snow with thunderstorms are likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh.
  • Fairly widespread showers with thunderstorms are predicted over Tamil Nadu, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka.
  • Scattered rain/snow thunderstorms are possible over Himachal Pradesh.
  • Scattered showers with thunderstorms are likely over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and North Interior Karnataka.
  • Isolated rain/snow is likely over Uttarakhand.
  • Isolated rains are forecast over Jharkhand, Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada and Telangana, with a chance of thunderstorms.
  • Maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40°C in some places of Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Delhi, Punjab, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh.
  • Heatwave conditions are very likely over Punjab, South Haryana, South Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha and North Madhya Pradesh.

Tuesday (May 17)

  • Very heavy to extremely heavy rains are likely over isolated places of Assam and Meghalaya.
  • Very heavy showers are possible over isolated places of Kerala and Mahe.
  • Heavy rainfall is forecast over some parts of Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Tamil Nadu, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka.
  • Widespread rains with thunderstorms are likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Kerala, Mahe and Lakshadweep.
  • Fairly widespread rain/snow with thunderstorms are possible over Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh.
  • Fairly widespread showers with thunderstorms are forecast over Tamil Nadu, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka.
  • Scattered rain/snow with thunderstorms are expected over Uttarakhand.
  • Scattered showers with thunderstorms are predicted over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and North Interior Karnataka.
  • Isolated rains are likely over Jharkhand, Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, and Telangana, with a chance of thunderstorms.
  • Maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40°C in some places of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Delhi, Punjab, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh.
  • Heatwave conditions are expected to abate on Tuesday.

Forecast summary for the next five days:

Five days precipitation accumulation from Monday.

Five days precipitation accumulation from Monday.

(TWC Met Team)

South-west monsoons are likely to advance into the South Andaman Sea, Nicobar Islands and adjoining South-East Bay of Bengal. Widespread showers and thunderstorms with heavy rains of 50-80mm/day are expected in isolated places of the Andaman & Nicobar Islands in this period.

Under the influence of strong southwesterly moisture winds from the Bay of Bengal, widespread rains and thunderstorms are likely to persist over North-Eastern India in this period. Rainfall amounts will generally run 50-80mm/day over those areas during the next five days, and an excess of 100mm/day is possible over Assam and Meghalaya on Monday and Tuesday.

To the south, a cyclonic circulation over South Interior Karnataka is expected to be almost stagnant or slightly move northward, producing continuous rain with 30-50mm/day across south Peninsula India in this period and excess of 100mm/day possible over Kerala and Mahe on Monday.

Meanwhile, a Western Disturbance will affect Western Himalayan Region through the first half of next week.

Dust storms are likely over the areas of dry weather, such as Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab and Rajasthan, on Monday and Tuesday.

As for the mercury levels, the maximum temperatures are likely to be lower than average over South, East, and North-Eastern India and near normal over other areas in this period. Heatwave conditions will temporarily abate from Monday to Wednesday. Overnight minimums will be near normal or higher than normal across the country in this period, except over South India.

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