Here’s the weather outlook for the next two days

Thursday (August 11)

  • Fairly widespread to widespread rains with very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are likely in some parts of Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat state, Konkan, Goa and Madhya Maharashtra.
  • Heavy showers are forecast over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, East Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Fairly widespread rain with isolated heavy falls is possible over Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe.
  • Fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorms is expected over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura.
  • Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, West Rajasthan, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Lakshadweep.
  • Isolated rains with a chance of lightning are forecast over Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu.

Friday (August 12)

  • Fairly widespread to widespread rains with isolated very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are likely in some areas of West Rajasthan and Gujarat region.
  • Fairly widespread to widespread rains with isolated heavy showers is possible over Odisha, East Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra, Kutch, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is likely over Coastal Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe.
  • Fairly widespread falls with thunderstorms are likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
  • Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Interior Karnataka and Lakshadweep.
  • Isolated rains are likely over Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, West Rajasthan, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu, with a chance of lightning.

Forecast summary for the next five days

3-days Precipitation Accumulation, from Thursday to Saturday (TWC Met Team)

3-days Precipitation Accumulation, from Thursday to Saturday

(TWC Met Team)

A well-marked low-pressure area persists over Madhya Pradesh while an east-west shear zone runs across North Peninsular India. These systems are likely to produce heavy to very heavy rainfall over Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and the adjoining areas for the next couple of days.

Furthermore, the above systems are expected to produce very heavy rainfall (≧115mm/day) in some areas of Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat state, Konkan, Goa and Madhya Maharashtra on Thursday and West Rajasthan and Gujarat region on Friday.

Meanwhile, another low-pressure area over Saurashtra and the adjoining regions will likely become more marked through Friday while moving westwards away from the Indian coast.

An off-shore trough running from Saurashtra and Kerala coast is likely to produce heavy rainfall (≧65mm/day), mainly over the west coast of South Peninsular India, on Thursday.

The rainfall activities will probably subside slightly on Friday. But a fresh cyclonic circulation will develop over the western Bay of Bengal and move westward on Saturday, leading to renewed rainfall activity from Saturday onward from Odisha and the adjoining areas. Very heavy rainfall (≧115mm/day) is possible over Odisha from Saturday to Monday.

As for the mercury levels, the maximum temperatures are forecast to be well below average in Northwestern India and slightly lower than normal in Eastern India in this period, while near normal or slightly higher than normal in other areas in this period. The minimum temperatures will be somewhat higher than normal in the Himalayan region and South India while near normal in other areas.

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