Here’s our latest weather outlook for India

5-Day Nationwide Forecast

A monsoon trough lies along the northern plains and a cyclonic circulation is located on the trough.

The cyclonic circulation that was located in Madhya Pradesh has gradually moved eastward and is currently located on the border between eastern Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. The southwesterly winds blowing out of the circulation will continue to bring rainfall to the Ganga Plains and Northeastern India for the remainder of this week.

Accordingly, the IMD has forecast fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand during the next 4-5 days and isolated heavy falls over Jharkhand on August 10-13 and Gangetic West Bengal during August 11-13. However, the highest falls are expected across Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Meghalaya, Assam, and Arunachal Pradesh with a 5-day total of over 200 mm in places.

On the other hand, the retreat of the cyclonic circulation allows the northwesterly winds to flow into Delhi and the NCR, bringing dry conditions to the region.

Meanwhile, the Western Himalayan Region and Konkan & Malabar coast will experience light to moderate, but continuous rainfalls.

In the south, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall is very likely over Tamil Nadu and Kerala during the next five days. Moreover, isolated heavy falls will bombard Tamil Nadu during the next five days and Kerala during the next three.

One of the forecast models suggests that there will be a significant cyclonic circulation off Odisha in the Bay of Bengal early next week, but it’s just potential, as it is a bit far into the future.

As for the mercury levels, the maximum temperatures will be 4 to 8C higher than normal across southwestern parts of the peninsula during this forecast period.

Overnight minimums will be above normal across the Himalayan region during this period.

2-Day Regional Forecast

Tuesday

  • Widespread rains with isolated heavy falls and thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sikkim, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, eastern Uttar Pradesh, northeastern Madhya Pradesh, and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
  • Widespread rains and thunderstorms have been forecast over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Chhattisgarh.
  • Scattered rains and thunderstorms are on the cards over Uttarakhand, western Uttar Pradesh, western Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, coastal Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala, and Lakshadweep.
  • Isolated rains and thunderstorms are possible over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh.
  • Isolated snow/rain and thunderstorms are expected over Ladakh.
  • The maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40C in western Rajasthan.

Wednesday

  • Widespread rains with isolated heavy falls and thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sikkim, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, eastern Uttar Pradesh, and northeastern Madhya Pradesh.
  • Widespread rains and thunderstorms are expected over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Bihar, and Jharkhand.
  • Scattered rains and thunderstorms have been predicted over Uttarakhand, western Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, coastal Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala, Lakshadweep, and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
  • Isolated rains and thunderstorms are possible over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, western Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh.
  • Isolated snow/rain and thunderstorms are in the forecast over Ladakh.
  • The maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40C in western Rajasthan.

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