Here’s our latest weather outlook for India

5-Day Nationwide Forecast

The western end of the monsoon trough lies close to the foothills of the Himalayas and the eastern end is near its normal position. The western end of the monsoon trough is very likely to remain north of its normal position during the next 4 days.

At the northeastern end, strong lower-level southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal will blow into Northeast India during the next 2 days.

Further, a cyclonic circulation lies over interior Odisha and neighbourhood, and a north-south trough runs from this cyclonic circulation to north Tamil Nadu at lower tropospheric levels. Another cyclonic circulation also lies over west-central Bay of Bengal, off north Andhra Pradesh coast in mid & upper tropospheric levels.

Moreover, another cyclonic circulation is likely to form over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal around August 15, and may lead to the formation of a low-pressure area over the same region during the subsequent 48 hours.

Under the influence of the above systems:

(i) The current spell of widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is very likely to continue over Northeast India and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on August 14, and reduce thereafter.

(ii) Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls will continue over East Uttar Pradesh and Bihar on August 14, and reduce thereafter.

(iii) Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall is expected over the Western Himalayan Region during the next 3 days. Isolated heavy showers may lash Uttarakhand on August 14-15.

(iv) Fairly widespread rainfall activity is on the cards over Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Vidarbha, and Chhattisgarh. Isolated heavy to very heavy falls have been forecast over Odisha during 15th-17th and isolated heavy falls over Coastal Andhra Pradesh during 14th-17th.

Subdued rainfall is very likely over the rest of the country.

As for the mercury levels, both daytime and nighttime temperatures will be extreme or quite higher than normal over much of the Western Himalayan region, southern Sikkim and in the northeastern end of the North East (Arunachal Pradesh) until the end of August.

2-Day Regional Forecast

Saturday

  • Scattered thunderstorms are possible over the plains of the North, Uttar Pradesh, much of the East, the western part of the North East, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh.
  • Very heavy rain could lash southeastern Meghalaya, while heavy rain may drench Arunachal Pradesh and the state border between Assam and West Bengal.

Sunday

  • Scattered thunderstorms are likely over the plains of the North, Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, much of the East, the western part of the Northeast, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh.
  • Heavy rain is expected in the state border between Assam and West Bengal.

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