Three-day rainfall accumulation.

(The Weather Channel)

Tuesday, July 27: The threat of heavy downpour continues to loom large over parts of North India, particularly Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand, for the next three days. Over the last few weeks, pelting rains have gripped these two states, resulting in repeated episodes of flash floods and landslides, leading to loss of life and property.

The latest forecast has highlighted that the pounding rains will continue to lash North India and some parts of Northwest India for the next three days.

As per The Weather Channel forecasts, a cyclonic circulation lies over Pakistan and adjoining areas, attracting westerly winds from the Arabian Sea. The system is likely to persist for the next five days. Moreover, the formation of a low-pressure over the Bay of Bengal is strengthening the easterly monsoon winds. The converge of westerly and easterly winds over west Uttar Pradesh is likely to lead to inclement weather over north India during the next few days.

Due to these meteorological conditions, widespread rains with isolated heavy falls and thunderstorms are possible over Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Uttar Pradesh from Tuesday to Thursday. Some respite from heavy rains is possible only during the second half of the week.

Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand will continue to face the brunt of inclement weather, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting isolated extremely heavy showers over these Himalayan states on July 27 and 28. Parts of northwest Uttar Pradesh may also witness similar conditions on July 27.

IMD has placed a red warning over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and west Uttar Pradesh for Tuesday and Wednesday due to these rough weather conditions. This highest level of weather warning urges residents to ‘take action’ immediately in adverse weather situations.

Meanwhile, the surrounding regions Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and east Uttar Pradesh have been kept under an orange alert from July 27 to 29, urging residents to ‘be prepared’ for rough conditions. Jammu and Kashmir, as well as Ladakh, have been placed under an orange alert for Wednesday and Thursday as the harsh weather conditions will also grip the region. By Friday, all these places mentioned above will be under a yellow watch, with Uttar Pradesh continuing on an orange alert.

With heavy rains on the cards for most parts of Northwest India, the mercury levels are also likely to drop by 2-4°C during the next 2-3 days over the Indo-Gangetic Plains. On July 26, several places of North India witnessed heavy to very heavy rain, such as Kotdwar (119 mm) in Uttarakhand. Even Delhi registered 100 mm rainfall on Monday, marking the wettest July day in eight years.

As the monsoon gained pace over parts of North and Northwest India this month, most states have notched ‘normal’ amount of rainfall figures between June 1 to July 26. Uttar Pradesh (286 mm), Uttarakhand (554 mm), Haryana (204 mm), Delhi (251 mm), Himachal Pradesh (293 mm) and Jammu & Kashmir (204 mm) have all recorded ‘normal’ amounts of rain. On the other hand, Chandigarh (210 mm), Punjab (154 mm) and Rajasthan (139 mm) witnessed ‘deficient’ rainfall figures as compared to their respective long term average of this period.

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