Representational Image.

(Bilal Bahadur/BBCL)

Wednesday, June 1: The southwest monsoon has begun to make its presence felt down-south, having marked its arrival in parts of Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka already. But at the other end, residents of North India will have to wait until the end of June to witness their first monsoon showers of the year.

Still, it doesn’t look like Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh will suffer a dry spell until then. May ended on a wet note for these states, and the rainfall activity will continue into June as well, with pre-monsoon showers set to drench the region for the next three days.

In its daily weather bulletin, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has indicated that a fresh western disturbance and an east-west trough running from Haryana to Bangladesh at lower tropospheric levels will collectively create wet conditions over the Western Himalayan region. However, the system will be weak, with its peak likely on Wednesday, weather.com meteorologists have suggested.

Under the influence of these meteorological conditions, isolated to scattered rainfall is expected to drench Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh until Friday, June 3.

Five Day Precipitation Acccumulation

(TWC Met Team)

Accordingly, the IMD has issued a yellow watch over Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal for Wednesday, June 1, so as to urge locals to “be updated” about the inclement weather.

In Jammu & Kashmir, the districts of Srinagar, Doda, Udhampur, Kishtwar, Ramban, Reasi, Kulgam, Anantnag, Shopiyan, Poonch, Baramulla, Budgam, Kupwara, Bandipora and Ganderbal will remain on a yellow watch for Wednesday. As for Himachal, the yellow watch for the day has been placed over Chamba, Kangra, Kullu, Mandi, Kinnaur and Shimla districts.

Rainfall and thunderstorms were observed over isolated parts of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh on Tuesday, May 31. Similar rainfall activity was seen in the region on Monday (May 30) as well.

In spite of the persistent rain spells, however, the northernmost parts of the country experienced a drier-than-normal pre-monsoon season this year.

Between March 1 and May 31, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh registered only 99.5 mm precipitation, which is 70% lesser than the normal for the period. Himachal saw 63.9 mm rainfall in the same duration, 74% lesser than normal.

The regional rainfall in the month of June, however, is most likely to be normal — ranging between 96% and 108% of the long-term average. The IMD has also predicted that normal or above-average rainfall will occur in several portions of northwest India in June, with maximum and minimum temperatures also expected to stay close to the norm.

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