Here’s our latest weather outlook for India

5-Day Nationwide Forecast

A cyclonic circulation is located over northern Madhya Pradesh on Sunday. The northerly to northwesterly winds flowing in the western part of the circulation and the westerly flow from the Arabian Sea converge to produce downpours across southern Rajasthan and western Madhya Pradesh from Sunday to Monday morning. Total rainfall accumulation of more than 200 mm is forecast across the regions on Sunday, with isolated places registering extremely heavy rains of up to 300 mm in 24 hours. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has kept east Rajasthan under ‘red warning’ for Sunday, urging residents and authorities to ‘take action’.

As the cyclonic circulation moves slightly northwestwards over Uttar Paresh, heavy rain will shift to western parts of the northern plains and the Western Himalayan Region (Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh) from Tuesday onwards. The wet weather conditions are likely to persist over both regions for several days. Daily rainfall of around 30-50 mm with locally heavy falls of around 80 mm is possible till Thursday. Both regions are under an ‘orange alert‘ till Wednesday, July 28, due to possible adverse weather conditions, instructing residents to ‘be prepared’.

An off-shore trough off the west coast of India continues to produce lingering heavy rain across the west coast regions. The active monsoon rainfall activity is likely to continue through next week, especially along the Maharashtra coast. Daily rainfall of more than 50 mm is likely each day over the next five days, accumulating to an additional 300 mm during this prediction period. As these regions continue to suffer from repeated floods and landslides, utmost caution is advised with the possibility of more floods and landslides.

Southerly to southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal bring moderate to heavy rain across northeast India for the next several days. A cyclonic circulation will develop over the north Bay of Bengal by Wednesday, leading to the intensification of monsoon rains across the region later next week.

Maximum temperatures will below normal across Central Highlands to Gangetic Plains during this projection period, while the remaining regions will witness above-normal temperatures. Minimum temperatures will be near or above normal across most of the country. The Western Himalayan region will experience significantly warmer overnight temperatures during this forecast period.

Rainfall accumulation forecast between Sunday, July 25, to Thursday, July 29.

(TWC Met Team)

2-Day Regional Forecast

Sunday

  • Extremely heavy rains are expected over parts of East Rajasthan.
  • Very heavy rains are possible over parts of Uttarakhand and Gujarat.
  • Heavy rains are forecast over parts of Andaman Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Tripura, Odisha, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka and Kerala.
  • Widespread rain and thunderstorms are likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat Region, Konkan, Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Mahe and Lakshadweep.
  • Fairly widespread rain and thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Himachal Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Saurashtra, Kutch, Vidharbha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Scattered rain and thunderstorms are expected over Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Telangana and interior Karnataka.
  • Isolated rain and thunderstorms are forecast over Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, West Rajasthan, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal.
  • Maximum temperatures are likely to remain above 40°C in some parts of Rajasthan.

Monday

  • Very heavy rains are expected over parts of Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh and East Rajasthan.
  • Heavy rains are forecast over parts of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Punjab, Gujarat Region, Konkan, Goa, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
  • Widespread rain and thunderstorms are likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Konkan, Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Mahe and Lakshadweep.
  • Fairly widespread rain and thunderstorms are possible over Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, Punjab, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Vidharbha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Scattered rain and thunderstorms are likely over Odisha, East Uttar Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana and interior Karnataka.
  • Isolated rain with thunderstorms is expected over West Rajasthan, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal.
  • Maximum temperatures are likely to remain above 40°C in some parts of Rajasthan.

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