Friday, July 30: Amid the prevalence of enhanced monsoon showers, Madhya Pradesh is in for an even wetter weekend, as extremely heavy showers have been forecast across the state of July 31 and August 1.
As per the India Meteorological Department (IMD), a well-marked low-pressure area currently lies over the interior parts of Gangetic West Bengal and its neighbourhood. In the next 48 hours, it is likely to move west-northwestwards and cross Jharkhand, south Bihar and the southern parts of Uttar Pradesh.
The system is expected to cause intense precipitation over East India for the next 24-48 hours. But as it moves further inland, the focus of the rainfall activity will gradually shift onto Central India.
Accordingly, the IMD has predicted fairly widespread to widespread showers with isolated heavy to very heavy falls over East Madhya Pradesh on Friday and Saturday. Similar conditions will also prevail over the neighbouring states of Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh.
Moreover, this eastern subdivision of Madhya Pradesh will also experience isolated extremely heavy falls on Saturday, July 31.
Thereafter, as the low-pressure moves further west-northwest, it will bring along widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy showers over West Madhya Pradesh from Friday to Tuesday, July 30 to August 3.
Furthermore, isolated extremely heavy falls are also likely over this western subdivision on Saturday and Sunday, from July 31 to August 1.
In view of these predictions, the IMD has issued an orange alert over Eastern MP from Friday to Sunday, while Western MP will remain under this warning from Friday to Tuesday. The advisory urges the residents to ‘be prepared’ for rough weather.
Within the state, the IMD’s regional met centre in Bhopal has indicated a strong likelihood of extremely heavy rainfall over the districts of Mandsaur, Neemuch, Sheopur, Annupur, Shahdol, Sidhi and Singhrauli on Saturday.
Heavy to very heavy showers are also possible over the districts of Ashoknagar, Guna, Shivpuri, Annupur, Shahdol, Sidhi and Singhrauli on Friday; in Rajgarh, Agar Malwa, Guna, Umaria, Dindori, Rewa and Satna on Saturday; and over Jhabua, Mandsaur, Neemuch, Bhind, Morena, Sheopur, Rewa, Satna and Tikamgarh on Sunday.
Meanwhile, the district of Bhopal, where the state capital is located, will witness light to moderate showers at most places in this forecast period.
Overall, the total amount of rainfall over the Central Highlands during this projection period will reach 200-250 mm, with possible downpours of over 100 mm per day. There is also a risk of flooding, waterlogging and landslides in the region, The Weather Channel’s met team has predicted.
Even though this intensification in rainfall activity begins on Friday, the wet spell over Madhya Pradesh has been ongoing since the start of the week.
In fact, between July 22-28, Madhya Pradesh was the second wettest state across the country after Goa, having recorded 158 mm rainfall in that period—105% higher than its average for this time frame. In that week, West MP recorded 167.7 mm precipitation, while East MP received 145.4 mm.
As far as the seasonal precipitation is concerned, the central Indian state has registered 419.3 mm rainfall since the beginning of June, which is just 2% higher than its average for the period between June 1 and July 29.
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